Another series of I’m A Celebrity starts after the X Factor results show next Sunday. Scarlett Moffatt is the early 9/4 favourite, with Danny Baker and Sam Quek also at single-figure prices. Here’s a discussion thread for any Sofabettors who are watching.
I’m not the sort of person who gets involved in laying but Danny Baker at single figures seems a prime opportunity to me. He doesn’t strike me as a potential winner at all.
Have you ever listened to his radio show? He’s very funny. He’s also had mouth cancer and had his saliva glands removed so he has to constantly sip water. Possibly a big sympathy vote there.
Funny guy yes, but he comes across as a bit of a grumpy sod at times.
Who’s the chap in Soaps – someone from emmerdale right?
If Scarlett is anything like you see on gogglebox, she’s deservedly a short price fav, but can’t be backing her at that price pre-show.
I’m sure anyone who gets into lay betting considers their choices carefully. It’s not like losing a bet to win or eliminate. You can end up with big liabilities if things don’t go your way. It’s one thing to lay Carol Vorderman or Ola Jordan before the competition starts and you see how people gel. They start at a disadvantage in a popularity competition. Danny Baker is a very different proposition imo. He has a lot of fans.
Imagine how the public will react to a man without saliva glands munching his way through a couple of locusts and a camel’s unmentionables. You really want to bet against that?
(And that paragraph has to be one of the strangest things I’ve ever written)
Just my two pence worth. He’ll probably be first out now.
But is Danny baker even going in though? He’s not on the final line-up as released to the daily mail and they’re reporting he’s pulled out. Unless he’s going in as a late surprise, it doesn’t seem like he’s doing it.
I wouldn’t lay him if he was. Maybe if after a few days he turned out to be a miserable sod but not at the moment. That’s all I was talking about.
No one fancy Carol Vordeman? Bit of a national treasure in my eyes, plus the loose women connection
Agree completely with Jessica…I have had some decent money on Danny on all sorts of prices, as soon as the strong rumours/reporting started.
Of course it was NRNB, so no damaged done..but fingers crossed he might still make it.
Anyone watching this? Why did the city celebrities bother with helmets and knee pads. They’re not exactly to save you if you fall off.
Given the slack in the harness that’s exactly why they’re wearing them.
Larry Lamb looks a good shout at the moment. Can’t see Scarlet winning
One word for you Stoney.
Journey.
I’m not saying it will happen but it certainly could.
The good thing is that if she has a few dodgy moments on the way then her odds will drift.
13/8 on opening night! Wouldn’t touch that with a barge pole
Agreed. Ridiculous.
You can now get 5/2, although that’s still too small for me. I don’t stake large enough to see significant profit from it and she’s far from nailed on at this stage anyway.
Cor glad i got money on Larry Yesterday at 6/1 he’s odds have crashed since then.
Danny at 9/1 is shortening fast. Larry’s drifted to 7/1. Scarlett is still favourite and the only one apart from Danny whose odds are coming in.
Yes larry hasn’t done much last couple of days
He’s gone out to 8/1 already.
1 word. Journey 😉
Hehe.
He’s a pretty cool guy already. I’m not sure where he’s going to go. Meanwhile Danny is a natural limelight grabber.
In other news, Carol is definitely not going to win this.
Can’t really see past scarlett winning this now. Which just seems like a boring outcome. There pushing her hard
There’s a long way to go. Danny has now joined Larry on 8/1. But I agree she looks very good at the moment.
Awful odds for him. He’s already proving to be an utter gobshite
He’s marmite but he’ll do well. I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him top 3 or even win it.
He’s getting a lot of negativity for his behaviour tonight. No one likes a show off. Id say he’s more likely to be an early exit than a winner.
I haven’t looked on social media. Not backed anyone for this.
I dunno why i have. I ain’t had a winner since stacy solomon. I really should quit betting on this show!
I did alright with the fella from Westlife or Boyzone or whatever but not dabbled since.
You never know though – if Vorderman and Baker turn out to be a bit of a celebrity mafia (as looks possible) then Larry and the blue team may well come back into the reckoning.
Only problem with that. Scarlett lol
Fair point. She’s very likeable.
Ridiculous attention seeking from scarlett last night
Larrys odds coming back in slightly
Danny looks like an a bit of an arsehole too. Larry looks like he could be good for the long haul.
I nearly cashed out yesterday for a small loss. Glad I didn’t i think he will shorten a fair bit by the final. Hoping people tire of the scarlet overkill
Hang in at least until next week. He won’t be first out by a long chalk. The boring ones will go early. Lisa Snowden, Sam and Orla aren’t doing that much. They’ll go before Larry unless something dramatic happens.
Jordan and Wayne are also going to be early casualties unless they change a bit. Nice but dull / dim isn’t enough (unless you’re that Charley wossname from Eastenders). They get culled early. Nice but involved people get to the top 3.
Barring him going menkle or something, Larry is surely top 3/4 material and by then you’ll know whether or he can win.
I thought Martin was being a bit wet at the start of this trial but these snakes all over him…. Bloody Hell.
Jeez. That second part took some stones.
And then he had to ruin it all by telling that bloody story.
I reckon he’s going to get the next trial too.
Martin is going to be this year’s stand out. Won’t win but my god he’s going to get some coverage.
Surely nailed on for this next trial.
Shock. It’s ADAM??????
Didn’t see that coming.
Big Scarlett drift taking place. Hopefully some negative footage coming tonight
http://www.mirror.co.uk/tv/tv-news/im-celebrity-viewers-turn-against-9302135
Really surprised they showed that footage last night. Hasnt done the chosen 1 any favors
Absolutely brilliant trial from Adam. Hilarious. Please get him to do another one. With spiders. This is fantastic tv. Must put him into serious contention.
Adam’s down to 7/2 since that trial.
Adam now in to 2/1 and Scarlett out to 2/1. Larry out to 8/1.
I suspect that as long as the public are deciding, Adam will be doing every trial. I’m watching a repeat of last night’s show right now and I’m cracking up. He’s hilarious.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-3960924/I-m-Celebrity-s-Adam-Thomas-freaks-Danny-Baker-plunged-underwater-spider-infested-cages-terrifying-new-Bushtucker-Trial.html
I think it’s still too early for a favourite to romp ahead and win. I wouldn’t be touching Adam at them prices. I think Adam Joel and scarlett would be fishing in similar vote demographics. This could be good news for Larry. But if he keeps being immune from tasks he’s got no chance
Adam’s going to get voted for any task involving insects. He’s gold. Absolute bloody gold. I’m shedding tears here watching and listening to him.
Agreed about Larry. He needs to be doing something soon, as does Scarlett. I know they’re ill but that won’t win any votes.
Hows Danny Baker doing? Still good value at single figures?
Adam and Scarlett currently both at 7/4. Larry drifting slightly at 17/2.
Can’t understand why Martin is favourite for first elimination. They’re bound to do it as a vote to stay. They don’t want to lose their main talking point.
I haven’t seen it all week. Martin won’t be going anywhere just yet.
Why has larry drifted so much?
He’s not done much. They’ve been pushing Scarlett down our throats to the point it’s been commented on in newspapers. Last night they reined her coverage in and it was one of the best episodes so far. Adam is turning out to be quite a combative character, as is Martin. Those two appear to be developing a bit of a feud. Joel has taking agin both of them but so far Adam is winning all the contests.
Last night Danny pushed Scarlett forward to do another trial and fight for immunity. It was very annoying and I don’t know why he did it. He’s increasingly peripheral as he seems to have withdrawn from the argy-bargy and is trying to be a “nice guy”.
Ola did well in a trial yesterday and is showing signs of taking some airtime but needs to stop hanging back. Most of the others are fairly anonymous although Sam and Wayne have shortened due to them featuring in the most recent trials. Sam and Ola have immunity from elimination so far. Jordan is battling for it tonight along with Scarlett (against Adam and Wayne). If Jordan gets immunity then Lisa is a cert to go.
Hmmmm. Adam won the trial but was suddenly not at all afraid of insects….. Suspicions being voiced about him on twitter. Was he acting?
Scarlett failed her trial but she is getting so much airtime it seems like she’s being treated favourably.
I wonder if this might mean the two current favourites end up dropping down and Joel or Larry or even Martin come through for the win.
Danny 12/1 earlier with a saver on Lisa, good luck anyone involved.
Good call.
Thanks jess, lets hope that’s the first of many. Is there an eviction every night now ?
Danny helped himself out when he said he’d had enough. Carol and Larry seem to be hinting that they’re looking forward to it being over too. By contrast Sam and Ola are very clear that they want to stay. I wonder if that will influence the next few eliminations.
So it’s probably a good idea to cash out on larry?
I’d be thinking about it but I’m rubbish this year so don’t blame me if he then goes on to win the whole thing.
Ha ha i never blame anyone for my decisions.
Think i might leave it a little bit surely his odds will have to come down a little bit if he stays in another week.
All Larry’s frustrations at Martin came out over something trivial. I suspect he’s damaged himself as a result. Apparently there’s more to come. Now he’s broken the seal it’s all going to come out…..
I think you should seriously consider cashing in soon.
https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=%23ImACeleb&src=tyah
Thanks mate. I shifted what’s left on to Joel
Who’s going tonight then. Outside chance of Larry?
It’s vote to save. Larry’s got to have an outside chance of going. He lost a lot of support to Martin last night. I’m staying out of eliminations. I can’t read this show at all this year.
I had an each way dabble on Martin at 14/1 so I’ll cover my stakes if he hits top 3 but you can’t get that anymore. He’s down to 10s at best. Joel is down to 4/1.
Carol for me with a saver on Larry, I thought the eviction was last night so got on yesterday afternoon small stakes due to restrictions with Ladbrokes, Larry 33/1, Carol 8/1. I think older contestents are at a disadvantage in most reality shows. best of luck.
33/1 nice. Only got 9s. But I’ll be happy with that it it comes in!
Martin is currently at 33/1 on Bet Victor. It doesn’t make sense. It should be a mistake but I can’t work out why. All their other odds are about right. Grab an each way while you can!!!!
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/im-a-celebrity/winner
Ooops. Doesn’t look like each way is available. Possibly still worth a dabble though.
So Adam is petrified of spiders yet *chooses* to put one in his mouth!
A few people on twitter have mentioned that, but not many. Being thought to be “fake” is usually death for a reality contestant but so far he seems to be getting away with it.
I didn’t know Emmerdale employed such good actors!
He probably workshopped that speaking in tongues shizzle at drama school. It’s the sort of thing they make you do.
So do you think Joel can win? They’ve been pushing him lately.
http://www.oddschecker.com/insight/tv/20161128-im-a-celebrity-2016-joel-makes-it-a-three-horse-race
Carol and Sam doing the trial tonight which could pull in a few votes for them both, Larry probably going to be short on votes after his bitching on Saturday night, have taken 6/1 on Larry and 11/2 on Ola, any thoughts stoney/jess/George.
I’m not really in a position to say mate I’ve hardly seen any of the series. I’m on a joel win now just to break evens. Your the man to follow after your juicy win on Danny and near miss last night with Carrol
My Danny winnings will be a distant memory if I get tonight wrong, I’m leaning more to Larry than Ola. Joel is my only green as well mate. I’m embarrassed to say I backed Jordan early doors.
I’m staying out of the eliminations. I read elsewhere that Lisa said that Carol and Larry want to leave. I don’t know if that will affect anything. I suppose it depends on how widely it’s been seen but I can’t even remember where I read it.
I think it was Danny who said Larry and Carol wanted out, it was in the sun newspaper and is also on tellymix, I wonder if that’s the reason both of them didn’t get much airtime in last nights episode, Larry in particular was hardly shown, if he gets another invisible edit tonight it looks like he may have upset the producers with his attitude and could well get the chop this evening.
Jordan’s vote not going to hold up much longer if he keeps ducking trials, I’ve nibbled the 7/1 he is now amber.
Ola gone. A good night’s work?
The market was correct, she went as low as 3.0 on the exchange, Wayne was a surprise bottom 2. A decent profit now in 2 out of the 3 evictions so far. Tomorrow going to be tricky I feel.
Complete Scarlett overload tonight.
I jumped in with an each way on Sam Quek at 80/1. Her odds have fallen again already. I think she might go the distance and a lot of people are getting a bit fed up of Scarlett and Adam. I wouldn’t be surprised if vote she picks up quite a few vote transfers.
I even had to schlep to the bookies because I couldn’t persuade Mr Hamby to go. Dedication or wot!!!
That could be as good a call as your Saara shout jess, I placed a tenner on her last Thursday on the exchange at 110, but sadly she is still a Red, might go over in a bit and send her Green, 70 available I think.
If she can survive the next two eliminations her odds will drop considerably and you’ll be able to lay her and guarantee a profit if you want to. Just got to hope that Larry / Jordan / Carol go before she does.
Thinking about htis overnight I have to say I don’t think it’s a great bet. I had strong reasons to believe Saara would reach at least the semi-final and possibly the final. With Sam there are a lot of strong candidates who have a lot of support and for her to reach the last three something unforseeable will have to happen. It’s a bit of a lottery ticket.
Ashley Roberts was a large price in series 12 and really came good in the last week or so, she came within a whisker of beating Charlie, it’s not too difficult to imagine viewers warming to Sam if she gets a little more airtime. it didn’t cost too much to send her green, she could surprise.
Girls getting a decent edit tonight, a few reminders that there are only 3 left could generate votes, going to follow the market tonight and have a flutter on Wayne at 3/1.
Sam’s almost non-existent. Not looking great for her. Hope there are a lot of hockey players watching.
If the market is as correct as yesterday then Wayne’s a goner.
Well that’s a shock!
He did the trial tonight but he hasn’t done much. He was in the “at risk” group along with Carol, Wayne, Sam and Larry.
For those who backed her on Betfair at 80/1, Sam is now down to 50/1. If she survives tomorrow obviously that will fall again….
Your bet on Sam looking better by the day. Still think she’ll fall short – though, only two girls left.
She’s no chance of winning. Adam might not make the top 3 the way he’s going – I think Scarlett and Joel are pretty much nailed on for it. I’m on for each way so that will do me, but I don’t think it’s likely. Tiny stake though, so it’s nothing really.
Yes, for the first time Adam really annoyed me tonight and I’ve been really sympathetic towards him so far.
If Larry survives tonight (because people have already cast their votes) then he’s going to be deep in the mire tomorrow.
Joel is damaging himself too by throwing little snide comments at Martin and sharing conspiratorial glances with Larry. The boys are in danger of throwing it away. At this rate the final three will be Sam, Martin and Scarlett.
Larry being gone now should help them bring it back in a bit. Still think Scarlett wins relatively comfortably.
I’m hoping for Wayne & Martin to go tomorrow so we get a strong cyclone, but I suspect it’ll be Wayne & Sam… Depends if Martin really has been bottom two the past few nights.
It’s Scarlett’s to lose, definitely. I think Sam is getting a big vote from hockey fans
https://twitter.com/Blossy69/status/804088165300637696
With Larry gone, Joel, Adam and Wayne could easily turn on Martin. It won’t do any of them any favours fi they do. It could still be a Martin, Sam and Scarlett final – which would be excellent news for me.
I can’t see it. Larry seemed to be the one with the biggest problem and now with him gone and Martin being the ‘elder’ they’ll be forced to integrate.
Sam’s vote is the big wildcard here. It could be that she’s barely making it but they don’t want her to bounce, or she could be doing better than we imagine.
One thing’s for certain – they’re dead set on the final three they want. The fact that they’re pushing so hard for it though can only raise questions on how the vote’s really going down.
Haha. You don’t know people very well.
They don’t respect him. They think they’re better than him. If he says something they don’t like, they’ll feel compelled to put him in his place – particularly Joel and Adam.
As for Sam’s vote – search #hockeyfamily on twitter. They’re GB Hockey are offering free training sessions with her as prizes in a competition and free signed TeamGB shirts to people who send screenshots of their votes for her.
Note: shirts are signed by Sam, not by the whole team.
Oh of course they don’t like him. But without Larry there they won’t cause a fuss. Especially not in the final few days.
We’ll likely see the snide remarks continue but I don’t think it’s enough to carry Martin past them.
I’d love to see Sam get to the final, she’s lovely and it’ll annoy the producers who seem to think that nobody will notice if one campmate is ridiculously favoured over the others.
Agree that there’s probably not enough time left for a real rumpus. Totally disagree about Larry’s influence.
As long as Larry was there to say things to Martin, they didn’t have to. They could just whisper and share meaningful glances. The tension they feel is not going to disappear now that Larry has gone. It’s going to have to go somewhere.
Anyway, we’ll see. If the producers are smart they’ll cook up a situation that brings out the tension and we’ll see how people react. If it kicks off I think Wayne will turn out to be the daddy of the camp.
They aint messin’.
https://twitter.com/katewalsh11/status/802580317286658048
Two to go tonight and there could be a shock….
https://twitter.com/SamanthaQuek/status/804731899042271233
https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=%23HockeyFamily&src=tyah
A few hockey fans will not save her I’m afraid
Yeah. Well done. Great call. That’s some serious wisdom to give to someone who constantly says she looks for longshots.
Tbh I found your other contributions to this thread were more useful.
Great call mate. Hope you lumped on.
Somehow I doubt it though.
Meanwhile the Sam Quek 80/1 shout rumbles on.
Holy Cow. Adam’s got to stay after this.
You may have been on to something Jessica
If she can survive one more elimination vote then the each way pays out. That’s 16/1. If she can go the distance then it’s an 80/1 bonanza (although a tiny stake).
Maybe her lack of airtime is due to them wanting to dampen her vote. Certainly wouldn’t rule out a shock tomorrow.
The good news is it’s the Celebrity Cyclone trial tomorrow. It’s very physical and Sam will love it. She’ll probably organise everyone and lead the whole thing. It’ll be a real chance for her to shine.
She’s still available at 40/1 with 1/3 odds for top 2. Crazy odds for a four horse race.
I’ve sent Mr Hamby to the Ladbrokes around the corner to try and put a pound on Scarlett to leave tomorrow at 100/1. I’ll get on Joel and Adam out as well in the morning.
What with the Saara bet as well this could end up being a great season at Hamby Towers.
And he’s back with wine but no betting slip. Oh well. Have to wait until tomorrow morning.
The Sam Quek train is up and running.
https://twitter.com/search?f=tweets&vertical=default&q=%23HockeyFamily&src=tyah
Anyone else having a dabble?
Wotevs. I’m on Scarlett to go. You won’t find 25/1 on X Factor tonight.
https://twitter.com/GBHockey/status/804806516620558336
And no-one else having a sniff on the Quek? I’ve upped my “tiny amount” – which means she’s probably out tonight.
Hi jess, I have a green on Sam and have used your information regarding the hockey cascade votes to take a speculative punt on Adam at 25/1 to get the boot tonight, good luck.
Sent my free 5 to Joel.
Thanks. I’m on Scarlett to go. If Sam survives tonight I’m in profit whatever else happens.
No profit in Joel going so I hope he survives too.
Good luck to you too.
BEST. CYCLONE. EVER.
That was amazing!
They really don’t want Sam to win, do they. Completely ignoring her unless they have no choice.
It’s been the Moffatt show all week jess, we are getting a running commentary about everything that happens in camp from Scarlett..
Yeah. She annoys the bejeesus out of me, all that ingenue nonsense. She’s not 12.
I’m a bit nervous now though…..
She really is the bloody narrator. So hope she crashes and burns tonight.
Gutted.
Damn.
Hope that’s not an omen for Saara.
It was always a long slot. Considering I had her as one of the first out to come 4th with such little airtime is huge.
Agreed. They practically ignored her again today and gave loads of time to the other three. Pretty obvious who they wanted.
She gave us a good run for our money Jess, my only green now is Joel and he’s the outsider, I still feel he is in with a shout.
I’m out on this show now. I’ll keep looking for the longshots though. That’s where the fun is for me.
Thanks for your nice words guys.
If Twitter is any indication it’s going to be a close run thing. Scarlett way too short. Joel definitely looks a good bet.
Totally agree George, I’m on joel for top male and outright. If my RED on Adam wasn’t so sinister I would be topping up at these prices.
Plenty of money now coming for Joel to win, expecting him to shorten further, i fully expect Adam out in third place and a vote transfer to Joel may hopefully be enough to get him past the winning post.
His shortening from from 6/1 to 5/1 when Scarlett is still odds on and also shortening is not a sign of huge market confidence.
I can’t remember how they do it. If Joel is in the top 2 and they re-open the vote with only two contestants left then he’ll be in with a really good chance. Both the others are more polarising than Joel. I’m not sure how to judge it on a straight vote. I don’t want any of them to win but I he’s the one I’d object to least.
He drifted out to 10/1 with some bookies this morning, now the best you can get is 5/1.
He’s actually fallen a bit in the hour since my last post.
Interesting.
I’ve gone in with a bigger stake in Joel at 5/1 the way his odds are dropping today usually comes from inside info
Joel’s now come in to best price 4/1 and that’s only available at Coral. Everywhere else is 7/2 or smaller. Scarlett’s nearly out at evens. Something’s definitely going on here. Is it herd mentality or is it inside information?
Im pretty sure in im a celeb that this type of voting pattern is because of inside info. I remember a similar thing happening when foggy won. However i would still be looking for him to at least over take adam in the betting positions before i was confident it was a vote leak that is causing the drop in odds
He’s back out to 5 and 9/2 again.
Do we know who is doing the eating trial this year?
Not that it seemed to do Ferne any good last year despite a great performance.
Joel
Don’t they all do it together to try and win a three course meal with wine for their last night?
I’ve cashed out. Scarlets got this
It would require a big upset.
I’ve got it switched on but I’m not really watching. What happened to convince you?
Good call Stoney. I feel for Joel being expected to give a small interview immediately after being told he didn’t win.
Be fascinating to see the percentages. Social media was all Joel so I thought he was in with a real shout.
Adam out in 3rd!
One down, one to go.
Voting figures over on tellymix, Scarlett won every vote. Just noticed that one vote seems to be missing, unless Wayne is still in there.
She won every vote but not by much each time – she pulled away a little bit towards the end though but still a seven point victory is quite narrow for IAC standards.
Sam was never in danger of making the top 3. Could have been closer if she’d actually featured on the program though. As it is she might as well have had a part time job and only come back for trials, meals and announcements.
Scarlett needed all that hut time and screen time or Joel probably would have beaten her.
Agree totally Jess, editing won the day same as bear in CBB. It seems like all these reality shows now decide who wins apart from strictly maybe.
I think even Strictly messes about with dance choices, performance order and judges comments. The most improved this year are surely Ed and Greg (I’m not sure if Judge Rinder has previous dance experience so I’m not including him) and they both had big followings and support. Ed and Greg were definitely pushed under the bus to get them out.
http://www.entertainmentodds.com/strictly-come-dancing/ed-ing-for-an-exit/
http://www.entertainmentodds.com/strictly-come-dancing/dead-heat-rules-apply/