IACGMOOH 2015 Discussion Thread

There’s a double X Factor connection in I’m A Celebrity, due to start on Sunday evening after the X Factor results show. Erstwhile creative director Brian Friedman starts as a 16/1 shot, while Union J’s George Shelley shares 9/2 favouritism with Hollyoaks actress Jorgie Porter and Spandau Ballet frontman Tony Hadley.

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The initial field is completed by boxer Chris Eubank (6/1), dragon Duncan Bannatyne (12/1), presenter Yvette Fielding (14/1), footballer Kieron Dyer (16/1), writer Lady Colin Campbell (25/1) and journalist Susannah Constantine (25/1). Please feel free to use the below thread to share your thoughts as the series progresses.

116 comments to IACGMOOH 2015 Discussion Thread

  • stoney

    Haven’t really considered any bets on the outright at the moment but the most interesting thing for me is Chris Eubank at top price of 6/1. Pretty sure he was first one booted out of celeb bb when he was in there. He is extremely arrogant and was generally hated as a boxer and after boxing. Can’t get my head around this price

    • Piresistable

      That’s what I thought about Carl Fogarty last year. He always had a reputation for being a bit full of himself but he did very well. I don’t watch the show, but I always think anyone who embraces the experience tends to do well.

      Of course, that might not be true of Eubank, but he’ll certainly be entertaining.

  • stoney

    Bit disappointed karl pilkington isn’t going in, I was waiting for him to be announced and would have lumped on that would have been easy money. Wide open at the moment. I guess George Shelly would have an instant vote block behind him

  • Alan

    Jorgie Porter, being an attractive female, Chris Eubank, being a complete bell-end, and Duncan Banantyne, being a miserable bastard, have got to be the ones that the public pick on to do most of the trials. Depending on whether they embrace this or moan about it will determine whether or not the public take to them

    Jorgie was on Dancing With Ice and didnt strike me as the type that the public would take to their hearts. She’s not short of confidence and whilst that’s normally a good thing in the entertainment indsutry Im not sure its the formula for success in Im A Celeb.

    George Shelley is such a non-entity its almost impossible to see him doing well. Keiron Dyer never appeared to have much going on up top. Its really hard to pick a winner.

  • Martin

    Whilst being a complete dullard, the rest of the lineup is so uninspiring I think he might win, just for being a bit nice.

    Jorgie’s personality is hilarious, but I’ve always thought she comes across as a bit false, and as you say Alan, slightly over confident. I think she’s endearing, and if she deals with the trials that she will inevitably end up doing day in day out in a good way, she could also be a contender. Tony Hadley has always come across quite funny as well, IMO,

  • Kermit_The_Frog

    The lack of obvious winners makes me think that Susannah Reid could well “do a Street-Porter/Thatcher/Dickinson/Bond” and gain support by being a general hardnut in trials, surprising the public…

    Until Paul Gascoigne arrives a week late and sweeps the whole thing. Any rumours on latecomers yet? Obvious picks who weren’t announced?

    And I don’t mean ITV’s desperate annual rumour that Grace Jones is considering lowering herself…

  • Kermit_The_Frog

    SUSANNAH CONSTANTINE!!!

    Apologies.

  • Phil

    I have it on good authority that some nobody from Geordie Shore is going in.

  • The Ferret

    Spencer Matthews (Made in Chelsea) and Vicky Pattison (Geordie Shore) will be the latecomers.

    Double interesting (apparently) because they used to be romantically entwined.

    I dont know nowt about either!

    • Jessica Hamby

      I’ve not met Spencer myself but have had vague connections with people who have met and the the universal response to him was “he’s an utter cock”.

      Now, doubtless, he will proceed to prove himself a diamond geezer.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Finally got some money down.

      I’m on Lady Colin Campbell. Amazing life story that could generate huge sympathy if she starts to tell it.

      Keiron Dyer. Heard good things about him.

      Yvette Fielding. Don’t know why. Might as well have backed Yvette Cooper.

  • Alan

    Spencer Matthews comes across like a complete cock but is exactly the type of person that could win the show by simply not turning out to be as big a knob-end as everyone expects them to be. Generally available at 10-1. Id be tempted but he’s not being offered on any of the bookies I have accounts with so probably dodging a bullet given my success rate.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Crikey. In a show featuring Chris Eubank, Vicki Pattinson, Susanna Constantine Keiron Dyer, Duncan Bannantyne and Ferne McCann, Spencer is the only person who could possibly alter public perceptions of himself. I think you’ve hit on a surefire way of predicting a winner.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Going to have to watch this on +1 because of xtra factor. Damn you tv betting.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Lady Colin Campbell’s odds more than halved since Saturday. She’s now at 14-1. Her life story is extraordinary. Take a look at her Wiki page. If she starts to tell it or if it gets repeated in the newspapers, she may get increased sympathy. If she does well in tonight’s trial her price will also fall.

    • stoney

      I’ve had a dabble on her purely based on the value of her odds and the fact that i have a rotten history in this programme when picking my own winners!

      • Jessica Hamby

        I hope you went each way.

        Sadly Kieron Dyer and Yvette Fielding have both drifted substantially, now at 25s when I backed them at 16 and 14/respectively. I’m hoping they turn out to be slow burners who will come to the fore as the show progresses.

        Kieron is clearly out of his comfort zone with the other campmates, which I see as potentially a big positive. He can go on a journey. Yvette seems more of a follower and a bit in awe of the others so I’m currently more sanguine about her prospects but there’s a while before the first elimination and in this show favourites fall like ninepins.

        Anyone for Jimmy Bullard?

        • stoney

          Keiron dyer is a national joke he’s got no chance.
          Jimmy bullard and joey essex 2 disasters i need to forget about lol
          Nah i went in on her to win. Not heavy stakes and I probably won’t get to watch much of it. On a bit late for me most nights anyway. Will just keep an eye on it and catch the odd episode on the play back.

          • Jessica Hamby

            I’ve heard good things about him. As a footballer he may have been a disappointment but this is a different kind of circus. He may turn out to be a decent man.

          • Jessica Hamby

            Her odds have fallen through the floor. She’s as low as 7-2 although you can still get 12. That’s not going to last though.

          • Ferret

            still 15.5/16 at Betfair – have taken a little to add to my book

  • Jessica Hamby

    These eating trials never get old. 😀

    Lady C’s eating her crickets with a knife and fork. I LOVE HER.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Yvette Fielding is pathetic. I wouldn’t vote for her and I’ve backed her. She is only surpassed by Tony Hadley.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Just saw Vicky Pattison for the first time. She looks like a force to be reckoned with.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Daily Mail hatchet job on Lady C. Large majority of comments from people who like / love her. Many say they want her to win.

    She’s doing another trial tonight. Vicky Pattison, Spencer Matthews and Fern McCann are coming in tonight as well. Vicky looks like a strong contender.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-3323109/JAN-MOIR-Lady-Colin-Campbell-Britain-s-preposterous-woman.html#comments-3323109

  • Jessica Hamby

    Vicky Pattison is still dropping and she hasn’t even been on screen yet. I know she won Celebrity Big Brother but I think IACGMOOF is a different crowd. I’m not sure wetting the bed will have quite the same galvanising effect. 😀

    • Sagand

      Charlotte Crosby won CBB, they’re just about the same (as far as I can tell) but actually different people.

      But yeah I tend to agree that while IAC has the ratings it has a reality star is unlikely to win.

      • Jessica Hamby

        Oh. My mistake. Sorry. Vicky has a bit more silicone but personality wise I think you might be right – they’re possibly interchangeable.

  • stoney

    I still haven’t seen any of this series but lady c is still shortening. She must be doing something right.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Shes down at 9s and Vicky is at 7s.

      • Jessica Hamby

        Vicky P now favourite at 11/4. Lady C on 15/2. Wishing I had gone on Vicky though. I’ve never paid much attention to her before but as soon as I saw her being interviewed I knew she was a serious contender.

        “Me ma says I’ve got to stopped gettin’ dipped (having sex) on national television”.

        “I’m goin’ ta try not to punch anyone in the throat”.

        “I don’t want to be everyone’s cup of tea. I’d rather be a couple of people’s shot of tequila”.

        And best of all….

        “Come on lad. Let’s get mortal (pissed)”.

        She’s a star.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Is it vote to save or vote to evict? Anyone know? Vote to save makes for a more interesting show.

  • Chatterbox5200

    Just received notification via the IACGMOOH App:
    “Reality star Spencer Matthews has LEFT the jungle. A show spokesperson said We’re sorry to see him leave”

  • Jessica Hamby

    Wow!!! He was third favourite too. Lady C now dropped to 8-1 and third favourite. Vicky still on 11-4.

    It’ll be interesting to find out why. Curse you, mad work weekend. I’ll miss it again tonight!

  • Alan

    They’re saying health reasons but the real reason was I backed the bastard and that’s the kiss of death for anyone. Still at least I have genuine reason to hate him now.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Hahaha. I wondered how a man who clearly loved his pies so much had managed to get ripped so effortlessly. What a fraud. The Spencer Matthews workout dvd has been put in indefinte hold. 😀

      He left MiC for this and has a show of his own planned. I wonder if that will go ahead now.

  • Natasha

    Anyone know how long it’s running for this year?

  • Jessica Hamby

    If you like your long shot punts there are a couple available at the moment.

    Tony Hadley is best priced 33/1 for the first elimination. Yvette has done very little but Tony has offended a lot of viewers with his overbearing manner and sexist attitudes. Brian is favourite but while he is annoying, he isn’t actually offensive.

    Keiron Dyer is best priced 50/1 for the win. This is about right at the moment, but as an each way punt he’s got to be worth a couple of quid. After a very low profile start he recently came into his own defending Lady C and pointing out hypocrisy amongst other campmates. He is not a an attention seeker but he can stand up for himself, he is also a young, sporty male – the type that often does well. If the camp continues to fracture and he continues to conduct himself in a gentlemanly manner then I think he will come into his own.

    I backed Keiran each way early on because I have previously heard that he is a very nice guy and an old fashioned gentleman around women. I wish I’d waited since he was 16/1 when I got on him (before the competition started). I expect his odds to start to fall again soon.

    If you want a bit of Keiran at that price I’d jump on fairly quick. Some who had him at 50/1 have already shortened to 40/1 since I started typing this post. The 50 is still available though. Layers may find this an interesting opportunity also.

    • Edie M

      I hope Tony is out first, I cannot stand him. I’d quite like a woman to win this year.

      • Jessica Hamby

        I suspect he’s alienated most of his fanbase. They might still want to hear him sing Gold or True but they won’t be voting for him. The 80s heartthrob turned out to be a sexist prat.

        I wouldn’t be at all surprised to discover that the people setting his odds at 33/1 are all men and don’t realise just how much he has annoyed the women who would have been voting for him.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Keiran dropped to best price of 33/1 already. Still 10 minutes left of the show.

  • Alan

    Do you vote to save or evict? If it’s voting to save someone bland will go out first. If its voting to evict somone annoying will go out.

    • Jessica Hamby

      It has to be vote to save. They’ve learned their lesson and don’t want all the interesting people out as soon as the voting starts.

      Normally I’d agree with you about someone bland going, which is why Yvette would be a good shout (or even Jorgie Porter or George Shelley (who haven’t done much either) if you were looking for shock outsiders). Tony has alienated most of the viewers though, and hasn’t done anything, so I really do think he will be in the mix.

      Brian, the favourite to be first out, has a trial today. If he does well he’ll get some support. If he does badly in a funny way people will want to see more of him and torture him with more trials.

      You can get 4/1 on Susanna Constantine and 5/1 on Yvette Fielding if you want. I like the bigger odds. You can punt two quid on him at 33/1. If it comes off then that’s quite nice. If it doesn’t, well you’ll hardly miss it. In fact if you do miss it then you really shouldn’t be gambling.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Well this is warming up very nicely.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Vicky Pattison now best priced evens for the win. There hasn’t been a single eviction yet. Amazing.

    The only other two people whose odds shortened after that episode are Chris and Keiron.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Keiron Dyer now down from 50/1 to 28/1 in the outright.

    Tony Hadley now down from 33/1 to 18/1 for next elimination.

  • Alan

    I think 4s for Susanna is a decent price. Cant see why anyone would vote to save her. Same with Yvette but she seems to have been slightly more visible.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Older ladies do tend to go early unless they’re making a significant contribution to to the show. Imo both Yvette and Susanna fall into that category. Both are available at 5/1.

  • Jessica Hamby

    You can still find 28 on Keiron Dyer for the outright but imo that is not going to be around for long. If you backed him at 50/1 a few hours ago, hang fire because he may well drop further tomorrow before the show even starts.

  • Shaun

    Chris Eubank’s odds are shortening rapidly. Stacey Soloman named him and Vicky as her two favourites. Is it between these two now?

    • Henry VIII

      Chris Eubank last price matched 12 on the Betfair Exchange. I wouldn’t lay him at that even though I backed him in the 30s and 40s the last 2 days.

      Vicky LPM 1.9, with still 10 days to go.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Vicky’s odds are amazing considering they’re not even half way though and no-one has been eliminated yet. They haven’t even announced the date of the first vote.

      Kieron has an obvious journey to go on, after his little cry. Chris’s motivational speech was pivotal for him. Vicky is certainly confounding those who expected a slutty airhead. Lady C is also going to have a lot of support.

      At the moment I can’t see beyond those four and I have no idea why Jorgie Porter and George Shelley are second and third favourites. I can’t see either of them making the final unless something dramatic happens.

      I think it’s still too early to call it a done deal though. Anyone can still do something brave, dumb, kind, mean, endearing, alienating etc to change public opinion.

  • Jessica Hamby

    It’s all gone a bit Game Of Thrones in the jungle. “Wait until he cracks and then go in for the kill” Brian and Yvette decided with reference to Kieron.

    I wish I could watch it. Maybe tomorrow morning.

    Anyway, Chris looks like the best shout for winning at the moment. Only he, Kieron and Vickiy are shortening. Lady C is shortening with some and drifting with others, which is probably a neat way to summarise the viewers’ reaction to her. Everyone else is drifting.

    Gaz from Geordie Shore said Vicky was playing a game on the spin off show. I don’t know how many people watch it or if it has been widely noticed but with friends like these…..

  • Jessica Hamby

    Anybody going in on first eviction?

    Surely going to be one of Brian, Susannah, Yvette or Tony.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Susannah first out. Good call Alan. Hope you backed her.

  • Alan

    Was always between Susanah and Yvette for me and luckily I went for Susanah. More than makes up for my loss on that Spencer $%^&.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Yvette next, I would think – then it starts to get interesting. I think Tony, Brian and Duncan might be too dumb to realise that Lady C is winning the propaganda war even if Susannah and Yvette are the first two out.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Kieron now down from 50/1 to 12/1. I hope some of you got an each way in or backed with the intention of laying when I called him at 50/1.

  • Alan

    Think I might keep backing Jorgie to go. Shes 40s at the moment on bet365. Thats way over-priced to my mind.

    • Jessica Hamby

      I think she’s going to go earlier than original odds suggested but not yet. She’s slipped to 7/1 and George is now 2nd favourite (also much too short imo). Jeorgie was FHM’s sexiest woman in the world a few years ago and presumably has a bit of a fanbase. I can’t see why people would vote for Yvette. I don’t see what she has to offer.

    • Jessica Hamby

      Jorgie is 80/1 on Betfair and 66/1 at Paddy Power. I don’t know where you’re getting the 40s and 50s from but you can do a lot better.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Watching it I think Chris has seriously damaged his chances with that purple / Duncan trackback. Ferne, however, is going to get a boost. Vicky is coming across a bit forced and contrived. Gaz is right. She isn’t that nice in real life but she’s saving too much of her honesty for the hut. Imo Kieron is ripe for a journey, from tears to triumph.

    • Edie M

      Vicky is that nice on Geordie Shore- except the problem is it’s only *part* of her personality and she’s trying to suppress the other aspects.
      Plus, worth remembering- on Gshore she’s a big fish in a small pond but on I’m a celeb it’s the exact opposite.

      • Jessica Hamby

        It was things like slapping Tony’s arm and saying he did well after the tongues challenge. Even he said he didn’t do well. To me it came across as fake unnecesary, trying too hard to be nice. It put me off her. I presume at least some other viewers felt the same.

  • Alan

    Yeah I dont think Jorgie will go yet but 50s is over-priced so is worth a small punt. I think she will go earlier than her odds suggest so I should be able to come out on top if I increase my stake at the right time.

    • Jessica Hamby

      What on earth is going on with George? He’s avoided confrontation and he’s pretty I suppose but he’s as bland as Enya. Dougie from McFly had character and the Mark Wright double act when he won. Who is going to vote for George apart from some of the teen girls and gay men who like a twink?

      It’s interesting trying to gauge the strength of their fanbases. Who in the UK is voting for Brian?

  • Alan

    Yeah I called George a non -entity before the start but really that appears to be over-generous. My 8 yr old daughter wants him to win though.

  • Ferret

    thank god for that – got back all tonights x-factor losses and some. laid yvette at stupidly short odds and backed Brian at decent

  • Jessica Hamby

    Now Yvette’s gone it starts to get interesting. Time for Georgie? She’s not doing much and she seems to want to go.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Chris and Duncan very close in the betting for who goes tonight. Ferne gaining a lot of popularity in the outright.

    • Edie M

      I don’t think it’s been great for Vicky that she went ahead in the outrights straight away as there is no sense of journey. Ferne could well sneak up and win this.
      Tonight- surely Duncan is more likely to go than Chris?

  • Chatterbox5200

    Do the public want to keep Tony & Duncan in to see the friction between them and Lady C continue?

    I didn’t really know Vicky before, and had expected her to be like Charlotte Crosby was in Big Brother, but she’s definitely not like her. She will have the Geordie vote behind her, and has proved herself to be a contender, and would be a worthy winner.

  • stoney

    Lady c leaves on medical grounds. Anyone know if ladbrokes refund on this type of thing? I remember a few years ago one off the bookies refunded on brian connely leaving for the same reason

  • Jessica Hamby

    The market is now saying it’s between Vicky and Ferne. Vicky is still odds on favourite with best price of 4/5. Ferne is second favourite best price 15/8. Well done to anyone who got on Ferne (ooer) last night after her trial. She has dropped substantially since then.

    Next best price is George at 10/1.

  • Jessica Hamby

    George Shelley 33/1 for the next elimination at Coral. Hardly said a word this episode. Could be worth a tickle.

  • Alan

    Im pretty sure theyre not the bottom 2. Just the bottom 1 plus one other.

  • Jessica Hamby

    It’s the big, blitzy challenge with the waterslides tonight. I’m hoping for a stellar performance from Kieron to push him into the final three and make good on my each way.

    The odds make him fourth (out of five) favourite to be eliminated but I think Ferne’s shock b2 announcement yesterday has skewed her odds. I would expect extra sympathy votes for her after that and, as many have said, it’s not even certain that she was second bottom of the poll.

  • Fudd

    Double elimination tonight confirmed by Ant and Dec during the trailer.

  • Jessica Hamby

    Kieron and Georgie gone. No surprises.

  • Andy.

    George 3rd.
    Vicky 2nd
    Ferne 1st.

    Good luck tonight everyone.

    Ferne 5/1 with Ladbrokes, great value.

  • Alan

    Yeah Im not so sure Vicky should be so heavily odds on. Everyone I have spoken to has been more surpised and impressed by Ferne than Vicky. Both have come out of it amazingly well but I think a lot expected Vicky to have that journey, Ferne’s just seems a bit more unexpected.

  • Alan

    Just checked Betfair. Ferne 7.8-1. So if you thought fives was a good price…..

  • Jessica Hamby

    Ferne is drifting and Vicky is shortening. I’m staying out of it. Good luck to all those involved. Ferne now 17/2 on Betfair, 13/2 on Betfred.

  • Jessica Hamby

    I hope y’all stayed away from Ferne. Vicky 1st, George 2nd, Ferne 3rd.

  • Stoney

    This years lineup has just been announced can we get a new thread up chaps?

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