The big news of the day was the extent of the plunge on Fleur, who became a clear odds-on favourite across the board as punters reacted to the buzz ‘Uptown Funk’ created on social media. We observed last week that who the celebrity guests throw their weight behind is always interesting to observe at this stage of the competition, and while last Sunday’s guests backed Ben, this week Sam Bailey anointed Fleur. We also ended the show in front of the big ‘Vote Fleur East’ bus.
As reaction to Fleur’s breakout performance sank in, it began to seem a foregone conclusion that the bottom two would be Lauren and Andrea, and so it proved. We’d said in last night’s post that if we were producers we’d take Andrea in the final, as he makes for more interesting television and with two singoff appearances against none for Ben or Fleur, producers should be pretty confident they have his number.
Nonetheless, I wasn’t tempted to go in big when Lauren was trading around the 1.22 mark having been announced against Andrea, whom producers have also treated unkindly more weeks than not. That was not much different from the price I’d taken when there was still a slim chance she’d be up against Ben or Fleur, against whom she would surely have been toast, so I was disappointed that she didn’t drift somewhat when her opponent was confirmed. As she failed to replicate last week’s impressive singoff vocal, she shortened even further. I ended the night with a three-figure profit.
This week on Sofabet we’ll be publishing our usual three articles discussing each finalist’s journey. One thing that’s worth bearing in mind is that this time last year, the votes in the semi-final were 29.6% for Sam, 28.2% for Nicholas and 26.7% for Luke – far closer than most of us would have guessed, even though the end result was what most of us expected. That’s a salutary reminder that, until the votes are published this time next week, we’re all in the realms of guesswork. With that in mind, any and all thoughts and theories are welcome for debate in the comments.
As ever, do keep the discussion going below.