With no act coming down off a sympathy bounce (Steph failed to bounce at all) and no confirmation that this weekend will resort to a single elimination (though we assume so, based on the precedent of 2010), there are a few imponderables about who will go this week.
Added to this, there wasn’t a song choice that looked guaranteed to put an act in trouble (a further discussion follows below). In the circumstances, I prefer to watch tonight’s show before getting too involved in the elimination market.
The song choices are all at least relatively well known; no-one has an obvious disadvantage of obscurity. Our commenters in the previous post have provided some excellent analysis (notably Fudd with his look at relative fortunes of acts singing tonight’s songs in past editions).
I don’t have too much to add to those perceptive remarks, especially as the proof of the pudding will, as ever, be in the eating. Jake Quickenden’s position as next elimination favourite seemed to be cemented after a generally unfavourable reception to his choice of ‘She’s Like The Wind’. However, as Mad Donna noted in the comments, ‘Dirty Dancing’ is an incredibly popular film among Jake’s presumably heavily-female demographic.
Jake is due an early position after two favourable slots in the running order – and producers again have a 20-minute Strictly crossover to play with (which helped do for Steph last week). But be careful of assuming heavy criticism on the show as the signal for Jake’s possible exit; lukewarm comments that don’t motivate his fanbase may be a more effective way of dampening his vote, should judges so wish.
Directly behind Jake in the elimination market come novelty leftover Stevi Ritchie and probable sympathy bouncers, Stereo Kicks. My assumption is producers will do their best for both this week: if Stevi falls into the bottom two, they’ll have to hope it’s against someone they could more credibly save him against; meanwhile, having gone to the effort of rescuing the eight-piece boyband last week over Chloe-Jasmine, you’d think they’d at least see how far a bounce could go with their Beatles mash-up.
Jack Walton has been well backed to exit this week, though he managed to escape the singoff from last week’s coffin slot with some unhelpful staging thrown in. We had speculatively suggested him at a double-figure price to be eliminated back then, and wouldn’t be surprised if we were just a week too early, but the value has dried up. ‘Eye of the Tiger’ doesn’t strike us as one of the more positive song choices, but it’s iconic and gives him a fighting chance.
Only The Young come next in the elimination market, and are another act who survived some rather messy staging last week. Quite what the Stereo Kicks reboot means for their chances is open to question and the up-to-date song choice of ‘Boom Clap’ could go either way too. Fleur has been given ‘Lady Marmalade’ which should suit, though a watching brief is advised on just how sexually suggestive the routine is.
The rest of the acts have largely been given songs that fit their lane. Andrea is in the diva section, Lauren has the teen and pre-teen favourite, Lola is aiming for the more mature market, as indeed are Ben and Paul. JJ got a hell of a pimping last week, and I don’t assume a red flag in the choice of ‘Skyfall’ just because it surprisingly put Hannah in the bottom two last year. Only a very obvious staging assassination would make me consider any of them for elimination.
Let us know your continuing thoughts in the comments section before and during tonight’s programme. I’m hoping that the show will clear the waters on who might go this week.