Eurovision 2013: Will Denmark suffer ‘Only Teardrops’ in Malmo?

Eurovision season really kicked into gear when the Danes selected ‘Only Teardrops’ by Emmelie de Forest last weekend. Watch the song here. Bookmakers cut Denmark to 8-1 joint-favourite, although at this early stage the best indicator of market sentiment is to look at the lay odds on Betfair – the price at which someone wants […]

Eurovision 2013: What does the rule change mean for punters?

Back in November, Eurovision organisers the EBU shocked fans of the competition by revealing a significant change for 2013. The running order, previously sorted by drawing lots, would instead be decided by Swedish producers SVT – with the exception of the host country, whose slot will be managed the traditional way.

The stated reasoning behind […]

Eurovision 2013: Semi-final allocation draw analysis

The semi-final allocation draw has been made and the outcome can be found here. A couple of things are worth pointing out before picking out some early outliers.

As before, the countries have been allocated to the first half or the second half of each semi-final, which each delegation can take into account when booking […]

Eurovision 2012 Review: How did our pre-rehearsal analysis fare?

Tomorrow preparations for Eurovision 2013 will step up a gear with the semi-final allocation draw, a reaction to which you will find here as usual on Sofabet. The rest of our coverage leading up to Malmo will continue to follow last year’s template.

From late January to early May, we will post a series of […]

X Factor 2012 Review Part 7: Indie-cent Proposal

“Is this a blip or a trend?” mused Daniel, after 2012’s second instalment of X Factor auditions turned up more than its fair share of, for want of a better word, knobs.

First there was the double-denim singer-songwriter borestrocity Kye Sones, wailing normally upbeat pop songs in an analgesic fashion. Then came the jaunty Lucy […]

X Factor 2012 Review Part 6: The Impressive Accuracy of YouGov

On US election day, we published a light-hearted piece suggesting ten ways in which the presidential campaign could be compared to the X Factor. Now we can add an eleventh: the result vindicated the profession of opinion polling.

As Daniel and I watched the comments come in under our final preview article on the final […]

X Factor 2012 Review Part 5: In No Particular Order…?

Sofabet commenter AlisonR requests an article on whether the acts this series really were announced safe “in no particular order”, in Dermot’s well-worn phrase. Your wish is our command, Alison.

We looked at this mid-series in 2011, and concluded that it’s largely a crapshoot. But we’re aware that some Sofabet commenters like to play the […]

X Factor 2012 Review Part 4: Rylan’s Week 7 banter with Gary

The most shocking bottom two of the series – arguably, of any series – came in week 7 as Ella Henderson and James Arthur faced off. We speculated at the time about what producers might have been trying to achieve and what went wrong. With the stats to hand, we can revisit that.

Our thesis […]