It’s a pity really, that Conor and Shievonne are up against each other. In a different battle there might have been some easy money to be made on very short odds. As it is, two of the least likeable and most aggressive housemates vie for the public vote and unfortunately only one can go. Boo!
I’m inclined to agree with the market and say that Conor is likely to slither out of eviction for another week. In week one he was yet to show his true colours and last week saw the vote split too many ways for Conor’s enemies to have a clear vote. This week poses a different problem. Those who truly want Conor out (and there may be many of them) have only the option of voting for Shievonne who has become this week’s bad guy. Not only is she an ally of Conor’s, she is now attempting to manipulate Deana against her friends at the very point that Miss India UK was starting to settle in.
There is also the fact that Conor himself has calmed down somewhat since Arron’s departure. This may be largely as a result of realising that Deana’s vote topping indicated public support in her dispute with the boys. Conor has bully paranoia so he’s steering clear and playing nice for a bit. The cameras haven’t been on him much but they shot enough to capture his sobfest and perhaps garner him a little sympathy.
Let’s throw in the depressing but inevitable truths that Conor has a polling advantage when it comes to age, gender, race and regionality (yes I’m making that a word, it makes sense in my head) and then things just don’t look great for Shiv. I imagine that supporters of Deana and the Smokers (what a band name!) would probably have a tough time choosing an evictee and might not bother to vote at all. I may be wrong but this feels like a week where the vote to save system won’t necessarily push people to vote for one housemate in order to boot the other. It’s not bland vs evil; it’s aggressive, chauvinist pirate vs aggressive, righteous rapper. Who goes? You decide.
If it is the case that this week’s eviction rests more on the genuine popular vote than the default vote then I think Conor’s at a clear advantage. For one thing, he’s survived two hangings so far so he must have some fans out there. What interests me is the effect that this will have on his position in the house. Surviving a third nomination is likely to make him feel invincible as well as suggesting to the other housemates that there is little point in nominating him. If Conor manages past this week then his chances of making it to the final, a la angry Scottish Jason (series 5), look better and better.
It’s interesting to see that from once topping the leader board, Caroline has finally hit rock bottom in the bookies’ estimations. It’s funny that she’s yet to become the show’s big baddie as her constant, calculated malice makes her a much better panto villain than the meathead Arron or the clearly insane Lydia.
Deana and the Smokers (literally, where do I get tickets for that gig?) still make up the ‘big 4’ in the running for the win. I think this seems fair for now but the emerging tension between the two most paranoid housemates, Lauren and Deana, as instigated by Shievonne, could cause a rift which would surely see one of them coming out more favourably. That could certainly rock the boat somewhat. Sara and Becky follow shortly behind, Luke S and Scott hover around the lower middle and ‘C.A.C.S.’ as the bitchy four shall be known scrape the barrel of chance in terms of win potential.
I’m tentative to advise an official ‘tip’ this week but for what it’s worth my money is on Conor to stay and Shievonne to go.
If anyone knows of ANY way that we could make this a double eviction OR where the hell I can get tickets for Deana and the Smokers, please be in touch. Many thanks.