Our preview article hypothesised four different scenarios for tonight’s show. Within five minutes of the show opening, it was clear we were in scenario 3. There was an unambiguous announcement that there would be no sing-off, and Misha B was announced as first to sing. This told us all we needed to know about whether they were hoping to get her above Amelia Lily, i.e. it doesn’t look that way.
As we wrote, scenario 3 “would most likely spell curtains for Misha. At which point you will no longer be able to get around 4/5 with the likes of Boylesports that she will go.” So it came to pass – her odds instantly fell off a cliff on Betfair.
It was tempting to post this update post at 8.05pm, having learned all we seemed to need. But then we’d have missed some uncomfortable moments for backers of both the favourites.
Neither of Little Mix’s performances were vocally impressive, and Leigh-Anne appeared to do a Janet with the lyrics in their first song. While there was plenty of praise for Little Mix after the pimp slot performance, it was noticeable that it was praise for what they could become if they ever got it together rather than for what we had just seen.
What astonished us was after their first song, when Gary talked about how Perrie is the best singer and this should be recognised more than it is. This came as quite a shock, given that “Ashford, you’re the main man” was part of the tactics used to strangle Nu Vibe in week 1, and Louis’s “Charlie, you’re the main man” with follow-up comments from Gary helped send The Risk to the bottom of the public vote in week 5.
Here is a tactic that has worked effectively twice this series to dampen support for a group. Why wheel it out for Little Mix?
Could it be that Kate in the comments is right? “Little Mix – heavy red and black theme, unflattering camera angles, unflattering judge comments (esp. after the praise ladled on Misha and Amelia’s karaoke-thons) followed by staged argument. Please see my “Little Mix will die tonight” conspiracy theory above, and feel free go “hmmm”.
Here’s that earlier post from Kate, which is intriguing – although with a noticeable lack of pimping for Misha, which she surely needed, we doubt very much that Little Mix are in any kind of trouble tonight.
Over at betsfactor, Richard wondered: “I think Gary DELIBERATELY and probably against producers wishes, said that stuff about Perrie. After all, he wants to win.” Is it possible that Gary might have gone rogue at points tonight? It has been widely reported, after all, that he’s not so keen on returning next year, and he may calculate he has nothing to lose.
Little Mix backers will have rested much easier after Marcus’s second performance, though. His first one, ‘My Girl’, suited him well – if ever there was someone who has sunshine on a cloudy day, it is the cheery Liverpudlian.
But in ‘Can You Feel It’, Marcus was yet again lumbered with a song that required him to labour in his less-good lower register. If they were trying to build momentum for the final, they chose a strange way of going about it – how hard is it to find songs that don’t require him to hit notes he struggles with?
Just to balance out Kate’s theory from earlier, here’s a pre-show one from EM: “If I was running the shop today I’d be trying to get Marcus out now as he has all the hallmarks of a Joe McElderry career and that’s not making anyone money. Just a thought.” (And here are EM’s post-show thoughts, just posted on the last thread, always worth a read if you missed them).
All in all, we reckon it was an evening that demands a second viewing to figure out what it means for next week’s final. The fact that Amelia’s odds have plummeted despite her not being especially good tonight certainly tells a story of its own.
As far as Sunday’s elimination is concerned, we saw no particular reason tonight to think that producers are holding out any great hope of getting Misha into the final, and the market agrees – she’s currently a best priced 2/5.
When you’re betting on an elimination which doesn’t involve the judges, though, odds-on starts to look a whole lot less attractive, and for the moment we’re intending to sit this one out.
What did you make of it all? Do let us know below.