This week’s double elimination meant it was even more important for the remaining acts to put on a good show if they wanted to remain in the competition. But it was such a bad night for so many of the contestants, that it felt like we should have had a triple elimination. Maybe even a quadruple.
Yesterday we advised a pre-show dabble at 8/1 about Johnny Robinson being one of the two eliminees this week, and immediately after the show he is now top-priced at 7/4. Certainly we were left in no doubt that producers are angling to get rid of him this week. As Allan said, “that was a very valedictory VT and the comments couldn’t have been any worse”. As Curtis put it: “Johnny opening the show? Rubbish song choice? Mixed judges comments? Oh dear for Johnny.”
In an apparent attempt to shove him straight down the memory hole, Johnny was then immediately followed by big hitter (or in this case big misser) Janet Devlin, whose flub of the lyrics means she will be relying on the Northern Ireland vote to keep her safe. One would imagine it will – it got Eoghan Quigg to the final, after all – but it is not now completely inconceivable to imagine a bottom three appearance for the erstwhile hot favourite.
Janet’s poor performance blew the win market wide open. Craig Colton briefly became favourite on Betfair for the entire show after getting a good audience reaction, and on that basis is most probably safe. It is, however, far from impossible to imagine erstwhile second favourites The Risk being in trouble, after a performance that was competent but hardly gamechanging.
Fifth up was Marcus Collins, who also briefly hit the top of the win market after getting some of the best judges’ comments we can remember in this show. It would be a major surprise to see him in trouble.
The next segment of the show was the vital one for the elimination markets. It was by some distance Kitty’s dullest performance yet, with an unhelpful VT and comments. Having promised a performance that was “100% Kitty”, she then proceeded to deliver a “Stars In Their Eyes” impersonation of Madonna.
As Kitty is coming down from a sympathy bounce, and after the torrid week she has endured in the tabloids with allegations of racism, in our view it was a performance and treatment with “bottom of the public vote” written all over it.
This is especially so given that the show immediately followed Kitty with an apparent effort to continue Frankie Cocozza’s unlikely run in the competition. His performance was as dire as we have come to expect, but his VT was helpful and the spat between Louis and Gary seemed engineered to bolster his vote as much as possible.
We know from the last two weeks that somebody is voting for Frankie. Whoever it is, they clearly aren’t doing it because they love his vocals. And one suspects the insult from Louis, and Gary taking the blame for the song choice, was intended to motivate them. It doesn’t look like the show wants to lose Frankie just yet – and Gary’s comment about Johnny not being a “pop star” seemed to be laying the ground for reasons to save Frankie in a possible singoff between the two.
Misha B’s rehabilitation continued and, with the sympathy bounce in her favour and a rock-solid performance, she is surely not a contender for the bottom three. Nor is it likely that Little Mix will land there after their pimping (and for those of you awaiting some humble pie after our article on Little Mix earlier in the week, rest assured that we will return to this subject next week when the dust has settled).
For now, though, where are we on the double elimination? Our reading is that the show is angling to lose Johnny and Kitty, and keep Frankie. If you took our suggestion yesterday to dabble at 12/1 on Johnny and Frankie to be the two to go this week, we’d now advise some kind of saver involving Kitty. Ladbrokes are going 10/1 on Johnny-Kitty in the double elimination, which seems fair.
So does the general 3/1 about Kitty being the 8th elimination (that is, if we assume the same format is used as for previous double eliminations, finishing bottom of the public vote).
What did you make of the show, and who are you expecting to be left on the stage after the first six acts have been called safe on Sunday night? As ever, do let us know below.