Well, an apology of sorts is called for after the weekend’s events. In my original article on Saturday morning, I had got wind of a rumoured running order, and advised Storm Lee and John Adeleye to be eliminated as a result.
When I was told not to take that running order on trust, this article was pulled and a replacement one put in its place. In the new article, I didn’t put forward Storm Lee to be eliminated because I had based this original advice on him being the first to perform, before another rock song.
When this did prove to be the case on Saturday night, I had to back him at 13/2 to be first eliminated this week, alongside my bet on John Adeleye. Sure enough, it proved to be a winner. There is a screen grab of the original article at the bottom of this article. Click on the thumbnail to view it.
I also made money on laying Wagner in the elimination market – betting that he would not be the first to go. I started doing this as soon as I heard on Saturday afternoon that he would be covering Tom Jones.
With the departure of Diva Fever, Nicolo and Storm Lee, Wagner is now the undisputed king of the novelty acts on the show, and we’ve been promised a big performance next week for what is rumoured to be an 80s theme.
Betfair also got round to an active market during the Sunday sing-off. This was where I made plenty of money backing Jedward against Lucie in Week 5 last year. On Sunday evening, thousands were being traded in spilt-second moments as Diva Fever and Belle Amie performed and the judges decided.
You could get 1/3 Belle Amie, and in hindsight, that was free money. Getting rid of the novelty wildcard (in a show with a better novelty wildcard) instead of the girl band manufactured at bootcamp stage was a no-brainer for producers. They didn’t even try to make any suspense out of it.
Looking forward to next week, it’s hard to know whether Belle Amie will receive an appreciable sympathy bounce: girl bands can be immune to it, and they did badly last week despite a good draw. However, Paije does look in danger of imminent elimination – I felt he just avoided the bottom three this week.
More next weekend.