BBUK, Summer sport discussion thread

Summer is a quieter time for TV betting, but the Sofabet community has a few things to get stuck into, notably Big Brother, back on Channel 5. The power trip theme and an interesting set of housemates holds plenty of promise. Otherwise, some of you may be dipping into the likes of the World Cup and Wimbledon. Do continue to let us know your thoughts below.

BGT 2014: Post-mortem

The voting figures show show that Collabro claimed the crown with 26.5%, ahead of Lucy Kay on 17% and Bars and Melody on 14.3%. Top of the non-singing acts was Darcy Oake in fifth with 8.5%. What can we conclude from the final? Here are five thoughts.

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BGT 2014: The final

Britain’s Got Talent is the most manipulative of TV competitions – and that’s really saying something. There’s little time for acts to build up a following before the semi-finals, which gives great power to Cowellian tactics such as running order, staging and judges’ comments. This year the direct qualifiers filled the following slots in the nine-runner fields (public vote winners in bold): 7, 9, 7, 9, 8, 9, 8, 9, 8, 9.

That carries on into the final, partly because the semi winners have yet to compete against each other. Last year, the acts that won their heats were given the last five places in the running order. Of these, first up was Fracince Lewis who finished tenth of 11, whilst next came Richard & Adam, who were given far less useful staging than in their heat. Winners Attraction got the pimp slot.

So treatment on the night is crucial. That’s particularly the case this evening because each semi was won by singers whilst the other qualifying acts do something else. It would be surprising if tonight’s running order gave us all the non-singing acts in the first six slots followed by all the singers.

We’re thus left guessing at Cowell’s intentions, which is crucial given his ability to usually get the result he wants.

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BGT 2014: Semi-finalists revealed

Tonight’s last audition show moved quickly onto the panel deciding who was through to the semi-finals – the first and most historically important of which is tomorrow (as the graphs towards the end of this article indicate).

On the official list is Paddy & Nico, despite reports of an injury to the 79-year-old dancer. Lucy Kay got tonight’s pimp slot in the reveal, complete with tears and a mother’s joy over the phone. But there was plenty of attention for the Callabro boys too. Let us know what you think the lay of the land is below.

Eurovision 2014: What changed?

Eurovision is an elusive beast. Just when you think you’ve got certain things sussed, the contest turns precedent on its head. The recent rule rethinks – reintroducing the jury vote from the 2009 final, and the full ranking system from 2013 – have accelerated the pace of change.

2014 proved it. Here are five paradigm-busting examples.

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Eurovision 2014 result

Congratulations to Austria’s Conchita Wurst, who wins the 59th Eurovision Song Contest, ahead of the Dutch act The Common Linnets and Sweden’s Sanna Nielsen. From a betting point-of-view, this was the third year in a row that the top three in the betting filled the first three places. The market was once again remarkably accurate by kick-off.

It took a while to get there, with juicy prices still available on Austria and The Netherlands when rehearsals started. I hope you too took advantage of the trading opportunities presented. It was a decent if far from record-breaking year for me, on a par with last year’s profit.

Full results can be obtained from eurovision.tv, where you can see that San Marino just squeezed out Portugal by one point for the final qualification spot in semi one, whilst Slovenia in tenth were more comfortably clear of eleventh-placed Lithuania in semi two. The full jury and televote results also give us plenty to mull over in due course. Your comments and insight are, as always, encouraged below.

Eurovision 2014: The Grand Final

It’s been a strange year for Eurovision betting. Ante-post plunges on a Norwegian bouncer and Armenian comedian abated by rehearsals, to be replaced by an Austrian bearded lady and a Dutch country and western act. Sweden’s cookie cutter Eurovision entry has just about held fast at the top of bookmakers’ lists as a concession to normality.

In this atypical year, with none of the front-runners quite ticking all the boxes, to some degree one’s gut has to come into play. That’s no bad thing in Eurovision, because it’s the acts that form an emotional connection with viewers that end up succeeding. It’s something that all recent winners have in common: Emmelie, Loreen, Ell and Nikki, Lena, Rybak etc.

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Eurovision 2014: Grand final first rehearsal

It was difficult to draw too many hard and fast conclusions from a rehearsal bedevilled by technical problems. With the draw and participants decided only last night, this first full run-through of the final is a more rough and ready affair than its semi-final equivalents. Anyway, these were my impressions as it progressed.

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